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Mark P Horniacek's avatar

Interesting take on the Rainbow Coalition, but very flawed [IMO] in much of its analysis. Coalitions work when they are based upon shared interests; the Rainbow Coalition was always and remains too heterogenous to be successful in any but the short term or locally. The Obama victory, remember, had as much to due to dissatisfaction with the recent banking crisis and endless wars as with the Obama program [he was losing in most polls prior to that crash] and he drew two weak and divisive opponents.

He won in a wave election in 2008 but massively overreached on Health Care etc. sparking the Tea Party revolt which caused the loss of a huge House majority and nearly the Senate as well in 2010. The bleeding continued for the next six years and [despite a win in 2012] over 1000 elected positions were lost - wiping out a whole generation of new Democrat elected officials. The result: a balkanized party and a gerontocracy leading teenyboppers when the House flipped in 2018.

Hispanics have little interest in reparations for slavery, Union Workers less in national healthcare, Asians bitterly oppose affirmative action, many [most?] American Jews have little sympathy for Palestinians. Orthodox Jews have voted GOP for two decades now, working-class whites and increasing numbers of working-class Hispanics and Blacks voted for Trump.

We are in the midst of a political transition, like 1929-1933 or 1960-1980. It's still undecided, but Rainbow Coalitions will never last and the 2030 census may settle matters for a decade or more.

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